WeatherBlend

Multi-model forecast blending for Sennen, Cornwall

Rain +24h

NWP precipitation probability up top; per-station blended P(wet) + rainfall amount in the middle; per-NWP precip rate at the bottom.

NWP precipitation probability — point forecast at Sennen, Cornwall

Trengwainton

Daily P(wet) summary — champion conformal calibrator (90% set)
Date (UTC) Mean P(wet) Driest hour
42% 42% at 23Z
22% 9% at 22Z
7% 2% at 07Z
Hourly P(wet) — NWP ensemble agreement (per-NWP wet-vote spread)
Valid time P(wet) NWPs wet
35% 43%
34% 43%
34% 43%
53% 100%
33% 57%
27% 43%
18% 29%
18% 43%
39% 71%
22% 57%
37% 71%
24% 86%
26% 71%
12% 57%
11% 43%
11% 43%
14% 57%
11% 29%
11% 43%
11% 29%
11% 14%
12% 14%
9% 14%
14% 29%
9% 14%
12% 29%
14% 43%
15% 43%
17% 29%
16% 43%
8% 14%
2% 0%
6% 14%
9% 14%
7% 14%
3% 0%
9% 14%
3% 0%
14% 29%
6% 14%
3% 0%
3% 0%
3% 0%
6% 14%
3% 0%
3% 0%
3% 0%
3% 0%

Lands End

Daily P(wet) summary — champion conformal calibrator (90% set)
Date (UTC) Mean P(wet) Driest hour
13% 13% at 23Z
12% 3% at 20Z
4% 1% at 16Z
Hourly P(wet) — NWP ensemble agreement (per-NWP wet-vote spread)
Valid time P(wet) NWPs wet
11% 43%
12% 43%
15% 43%
31% 100%
18% 57%
16% 43%
9% 29%
11% 43%
32% 71%
12% 57%
22% 71%
24% 86%
22% 71%
10% 57%
7% 43%
8% 43%
6% 57%
5% 29%
6% 43%
4% 29%
3% 14%
3% 14%
3% 14%
4% 29%
3% 14%
6% 29%
10% 43%
13% 43%
6% 29%
9% 43%
5% 14%
1% 0%
4% 14%
5% 14%
3% 14%
1% 0%
3% 14%
1% 0%
7% 29%
3% 14%
1% 0%
1% 0%
1% 0%
3% 14%
1% 0%
1% 0%
1% 0%
1% 0%

NWP precip rate (mm/h) — point forecast at Sennen, Cornwall