WeatherBlend

Multi-model forecast blending for Sennen, Cornwall

Rain +24h

NWP precipitation probability up top; per-station blended P(wet) + rainfall amount in the middle; per-NWP precip rate at the bottom.

NWP precipitation probability — point forecast at Sennen, Cornwall

St Erth

Daily P(wet) summary — champion conformal calibrator (90% set)

Date (UTC)	Mean P(wet)	Driest hour
Fri 19 Jun	32%	28% at 22Z
Sat 20 Jun	6%	2% at 19Z
Sun 21 Jun	3%	2% at 01Z

Hourly P(wet) — NWP ensemble agreement (per-NWP wet-vote spread)

Valid time	P(wet)	NWPs wet
06-20 00Z	28%	29%
06-20 01Z	10%	0%
06-20 02Z	9%	0%
06-20 03Z	7%	0%
06-20 04Z	8%	0%
06-20 05Z	9%	0%
06-20 06Z	8%	0%
06-20 07Z	5%	0%
06-20 08Z	3%	0%
06-20 09Z	3%	0%
06-20 10Z	3%	0%
06-20 11Z	3%	0%
06-20 12Z	3%	0%
06-20 13Z	3%	0%
06-20 14Z	4%	0%
06-20 15Z	3%	0%
06-20 16Z	4%	0%
06-20 17Z	4%	0%
06-20 18Z	3%	0%
06-20 19Z	2%	0%
06-20 20Z	4%	0%
06-20 21Z	3%	0%
06-20 22Z	3%	0%
06-20 23Z	3%	0%
06-21 00Z	2%	0%
06-21 01Z	2%	0%
06-21 02Z	2%	0%
06-21 03Z	2%	0%
06-21 04Z	2%	0%
06-21 05Z	3%	0%
06-21 06Z	3%	0%
06-21 07Z	3%	0%
06-21 08Z	3%	0%
06-21 09Z	3%	0%
06-21 10Z	2%	0%
06-21 11Z	2%	0%
06-21 12Z	3%	0%
06-21 13Z	3%	0%
06-21 14Z	3%	0%
06-21 15Z	3%	0%
06-21 16Z	3%	0%
06-21 17Z	3%	0%
06-21 18Z	3%	0%
06-21 19Z	3%	0%
06-21 20Z	4%	0%
06-21 21Z	4%	0%
06-21 22Z	4%	0%
06-21 23Z	3%	0%

St Ives Towednack

Daily P(wet) summary — champion conformal calibrator (90% set)

Date (UTC)	Mean P(wet)	Driest hour
Fri 19 Jun	37%	31% at 22Z
Sat 20 Jun	9%	2% at 17Z
Sun 21 Jun	3%	2% at 19Z

Hourly P(wet) — NWP ensemble agreement (per-NWP wet-vote spread)

Valid time	P(wet)	NWPs wet
06-20 00Z	37%	29%
06-20 01Z	13%	0%
06-20 02Z	13%	0%
06-20 03Z	20%	0%
06-20 04Z	20%	0%
06-20 05Z	19%	0%
06-20 06Z	16%	0%
06-20 07Z	11%	0%
06-20 08Z	8%	0%
06-20 09Z	6%	0%
06-20 10Z	5%	0%
06-20 11Z	4%	0%
06-20 12Z	4%	0%
06-20 13Z	3%	0%
06-20 14Z	3%	0%
06-20 15Z	3%	0%
06-20 16Z	3%	0%
06-20 17Z	2%	0%
06-20 18Z	3%	0%
06-20 19Z	2%	0%
06-20 20Z	3%	0%
06-20 21Z	2%	0%
06-20 22Z	3%	0%
06-20 23Z	4%	0%
06-21 00Z	3%	0%
06-21 01Z	3%	0%
06-21 02Z	3%	0%
06-21 03Z	5%	0%
06-21 04Z	7%	0%
06-21 05Z	7%	0%
06-21 06Z	7%	0%
06-21 07Z	5%	0%
06-21 08Z	3%	0%
06-21 09Z	3%	0%
06-21 10Z	3%	0%
06-21 11Z	3%	0%
06-21 12Z	3%	0%
06-21 13Z	3%	0%
06-21 14Z	3%	0%
06-21 15Z	2%	0%
06-21 16Z	2%	0%
06-21 17Z	3%	0%
06-21 18Z	2%	0%
06-21 19Z	2%	0%
06-21 20Z	2%	0%
06-21 21Z	2%	0%
06-21 22Z	3%	0%
06-21 23Z	3%	0%

Trengwainton

Daily P(wet) summary — champion conformal calibrator (90% set)

Date (UTC)	Mean P(wet)	Driest hour
Fri 19 Jun	38%	31% at 22Z
Sat 20 Jun	6%	2% at 21Z
Sun 21 Jun	2%	2% at 07Z

Hourly P(wet) — NWP ensemble agreement (per-NWP wet-vote spread)

Valid time	P(wet)	NWPs wet
06-20 00Z	26%	29%
06-20 01Z	14%	0%
06-20 02Z	15%	0%
06-20 03Z	11%	0%
06-20 04Z	11%	0%
06-20 05Z	9%	0%
06-20 06Z	10%	0%
06-20 07Z	5%	0%
06-20 08Z	4%	0%
06-20 09Z	4%	0%
06-20 10Z	4%	0%
06-20 11Z	4%	0%
06-20 12Z	4%	0%
06-20 13Z	3%	0%
06-20 14Z	2%	0%
06-20 15Z	3%	0%
06-20 16Z	3%	0%
06-20 17Z	2%	0%
06-20 18Z	2%	0%
06-20 19Z	2%	0%
06-20 20Z	2%	0%
06-20 21Z	2%	0%
06-20 22Z	2%	0%
06-20 23Z	2%	0%
06-21 00Z	2%	0%
06-21 01Z	2%	0%
06-21 02Z	2%	0%
06-21 03Z	2%	0%
06-21 04Z	2%	0%
06-21 05Z	2%	0%
06-21 06Z	3%	0%
06-21 07Z	2%	0%
06-21 08Z	2%	0%
06-21 09Z	2%	0%
06-21 10Z	2%	0%
06-21 11Z	2%	0%
06-21 12Z	2%	0%
06-21 13Z	2%	0%
06-21 14Z	2%	0%
06-21 15Z	2%	0%
06-21 16Z	2%	0%
06-21 17Z	2%	0%
06-21 18Z	2%	0%
06-21 19Z	2%	0%
06-21 20Z	2%	0%
06-21 21Z	2%	0%
06-21 22Z	2%	0%
06-21 23Z	2%	0%

NWP precip rate (mm/h) — point forecast at Sennen, Cornwall