WeatherBlend
Multi-model forecast blending for Sennen, Cornwall
Wind +24h
Blender speed forecasts on top — champion (ERA5-truth), wind_speed_lgb (Dunkeswell-truth, with its shaded 90% prediction band — conformal- calibrated quantile regression), and wind_blend (their equal-weight mean), plus the wind_gust_lgb gust line. Raw per-NWP inputs below. Per-hour direction circles at the bottom show the latest day this lead predicts; each wedge spans the wind_mvn 80% direction credible arc (calibrated on validation). wind_mvn is direction-only — its speed output was retired 2026-06-09.
Wind speed — our blend
NWP wind speed forecasts
Wind direction
Latest day at +24h: Wed 07 Oct 2026 (UTC; hours 05–19)
05Z
21 mph
06Z
22 mph
07Z
23 mph
08Z
23 mph
09Z
28 mph
10Z
27 mph
11Z
27 mph
12Z
27 mph
13Z
27 mph
14Z
27 mph
15Z
26 mph
16Z
25 mph
17Z
25 mph
18Z
24 mph
19Z
23 mph