Rain forecast +120h — WeatherBlend

Daily P(wet) summary — champion conformal calibrator (90% set)

Date (UTC)	Mean P(wet)	Driest hour
Fri 19 Jun	41%	37% at 23Z
Sat 20 Jun	26%	8% at 20Z
Sun 21 Jun	6%	2% at 02Z
Mon 22 Jun	7%	2% at 12Z
Tue 23 Jun	4%	2% at 14Z
Wed 24 Jun	4%	3% at 14Z
Thu 25 Jun	13%	3% at 00Z

Hourly P(wet) — NWP ensemble agreement (per-NWP wet-vote spread)

Valid time	P(wet)	NWPs wet
06-20 00Z	43%	50%
06-20 01Z	33%	33%
06-20 02Z	33%	33%
06-20 03Z	30%	33%
06-20 04Z	28%	33%
06-20 05Z	28%	33%
06-20 06Z	38%	67%
06-20 07Z	33%	67%
06-20 08Z	37%	83%
06-20 09Z	32%	83%
06-20 10Z	28%	50%
06-20 11Z	25%	50%
06-20 12Z	28%	67%
06-20 13Z	12%	33%
06-20 14Z	38%	17%
06-20 15Z	11%	17%
06-20 16Z	26%	50%
06-20 17Z	25%	50%
06-20 18Z	24%	50%
06-20 19Z	8%	17%
06-20 20Z	8%	17%
06-20 21Z	17%	17%
06-20 22Z	20%	33%
06-20 23Z	22%	33%
06-21 00Z	32%	33%
06-21 01Z	32%	17%
06-21 02Z	2%	0%
06-21 03Z	3%	0%
06-21 04Z	3%	0%
06-21 05Z	4%	0%
06-21 06Z	4%	0%
06-21 07Z	4%	0%
06-21 08Z	3%	0%
06-21 09Z	3%	0%
06-21 10Z	3%	0%
06-21 11Z	3%	0%
06-21 12Z	4%	0%
06-21 13Z	4%	0%
06-21 14Z	4%	0%
06-21 15Z	4%	0%
06-21 16Z	4%	0%
06-21 17Z	3%	0%
06-21 18Z	3%	0%
06-21 19Z	3%	0%
06-21 20Z	3%	0%
06-21 21Z	4%	0%
06-21 22Z	8%	17%
06-21 23Z	8%	17%
06-22 00Z	9%	17%
06-22 01Z	10%	17%
06-22 02Z	12%	17%
06-22 03Z	14%	17%
06-22 04Z	4%	0%
06-22 05Z	6%	0%
06-22 06Z	17%	17%
06-22 07Z	12%	17%
06-22 08Z	12%	17%
06-22 09Z	11%	17%
06-22 10Z	3%	0%
06-22 11Z	2%	0%
06-22 12Z	2%	0%
06-22 13Z	3%	0%
06-22 14Z	9%	17%
06-22 15Z	7%	17%
06-22 16Z	8%	17%
06-22 17Z	8%	17%
06-22 18Z	7%	17%
06-22 19Z	6%	17%
06-22 20Z	7%	17%
06-22 21Z	4%	17%
06-22 22Z	4%	17%
06-22 23Z	4%	17%
06-23 00Z	10%	17%
06-23 01Z	10%	17%
06-23 02Z	2%	0%
06-23 03Z	2%	0%
06-23 04Z	3%	0%
06-23 05Z	5%	0%
06-23 06Z	5%	0%
06-23 07Z	6%	0%
06-23 08Z	4%	0%
06-23 09Z	4%	0%
06-23 10Z	3%	0%
06-23 11Z	4%	0%
06-23 12Z	3%	0%
06-23 13Z	3%	0%
06-23 14Z	2%	0%
06-23 15Z	4%	0%
06-23 16Z	3%	0%
06-23 17Z	3%	0%
06-23 18Z	3%	0%
06-23 19Z	3%	0%
06-23 20Z	4%	0%
06-23 21Z	4%	0%
06-23 22Z	4%	0%
06-23 23Z	3%	0%
06-24 00Z	3%	0%
06-24 01Z	3%	0%
06-24 02Z	3%	0%
06-24 03Z	3%	0%
06-24 04Z	3%	0%
06-24 05Z	4%	0%
06-24 06Z	5%	0%
06-24 07Z	4%	0%
06-24 08Z	3%	0%
06-24 09Z	3%	0%
06-24 10Z	3%	0%
06-24 11Z	3%	0%
06-24 12Z	3%	0%
06-24 13Z	3%	0%
06-24 14Z	3%	0%
06-24 15Z	4%	0%
06-24 16Z	4%	0%
06-24 17Z	5%	0%
06-24 18Z	4%	0%
06-24 19Z	4%	0%
06-24 20Z	4%	0%
06-24 21Z	4%	0%
06-24 22Z	4%	0%
06-24 23Z	6%	0%
06-25 00Z	3%	0%
06-25 01Z	3%	0%
06-25 02Z	12%	17%
06-25 03Z	18%	17%
06-25 04Z	15%	17%
06-25 05Z	15%	17%
06-25 06Z	16%	17%
06-25 07Z	16%	17%
06-25 08Z	17%	17%
06-25 09Z	18%	17%
06-25 10Z	7%	0%
06-25 11Z	11%	0%
06-25 12Z	12%	0%
06-25 13Z	20%	17%
06-25 14Z	18%	17%
06-25 15Z	7%	17%
06-25 16Z	4%	0%
06-25 17Z	5%	0%
06-25 18Z	5%	0%
06-25 19Z	10%	17%
06-25 20Z	12%	17%
06-25 21Z	19%	17%
06-25 22Z	24%	17%
06-25 23Z	22%	17%

Daily P(wet) summary — champion conformal calibrator (90% set)

Date (UTC)	Mean P(wet)	Driest hour
Fri 19 Jun	30%	30% at 23Z
Sat 20 Jun	27%	9% at 15Z
Sun 21 Jun	7%	3% at 15Z
Mon 22 Jun	10%	4% at 12Z
Tue 23 Jun	6%	4% at 14Z
Wed 24 Jun	5%	3% at 15Z
Thu 25 Jun	10%	4% at 16Z

Hourly P(wet) — NWP ensemble agreement (per-NWP wet-vote spread)

Valid time	P(wet)	NWPs wet
06-20 00Z	34%	50%
06-20 01Z	37%	33%
06-20 02Z	35%	33%
06-20 03Z	36%	33%
06-20 04Z	31%	33%
06-20 05Z	33%	33%
06-20 06Z	36%	67%
06-20 07Z	36%	67%
06-20 08Z	48%	83%
06-20 09Z	49%	83%
06-20 10Z	31%	50%
06-20 11Z	25%	50%
06-20 12Z	28%	67%
06-20 13Z	17%	33%
06-20 14Z	24%	17%
06-20 15Z	9%	17%
06-20 16Z	18%	50%
06-20 17Z	20%	50%
06-20 18Z	20%	50%
06-20 19Z	11%	17%
06-20 20Z	13%	17%
06-20 21Z	24%	17%
06-20 22Z	22%	33%
06-20 23Z	22%	33%
06-21 00Z	37%	33%
06-21 01Z	24%	17%
06-21 02Z	4%	0%
06-21 03Z	4%	0%
06-21 04Z	5%	0%
06-21 05Z	4%	0%
06-21 06Z	5%	0%
06-21 07Z	5%	0%
06-21 08Z	5%	0%
06-21 09Z	4%	0%
06-21 10Z	4%	0%
06-21 11Z	4%	0%
06-21 12Z	4%	0%
06-21 13Z	4%	0%
06-21 14Z	4%	0%
06-21 15Z	3%	0%
06-21 16Z	3%	0%
06-21 17Z	3%	0%
06-21 18Z	4%	0%
06-21 19Z	4%	0%
06-21 20Z	4%	0%
06-21 21Z	6%	0%
06-21 22Z	13%	17%
06-21 23Z	13%	17%
06-22 00Z	11%	17%
06-22 01Z	13%	17%
06-22 02Z	17%	17%
06-22 03Z	17%	17%
06-22 04Z	8%	0%
06-22 05Z	7%	0%
06-22 06Z	19%	17%
06-22 07Z	15%	17%
06-22 08Z	18%	17%
06-22 09Z	17%	17%
06-22 10Z	5%	0%
06-22 11Z	4%	0%
06-22 12Z	4%	0%
06-22 13Z	4%	0%
06-22 14Z	11%	17%
06-22 15Z	5%	17%
06-22 16Z	5%	17%
06-22 17Z	6%	17%
06-22 18Z	6%	17%
06-22 19Z	6%	17%
06-22 20Z	6%	17%
06-22 21Z	8%	17%
06-22 22Z	9%	17%
06-22 23Z	10%	17%
06-23 00Z	16%	17%
06-23 01Z	16%	17%
06-23 02Z	5%	0%
06-23 03Z	6%	0%
06-23 04Z	8%	0%
06-23 05Z	7%	0%
06-23 06Z	7%	0%
06-23 07Z	7%	0%
06-23 08Z	6%	0%
06-23 09Z	5%	0%
06-23 10Z	4%	0%
06-23 11Z	4%	0%
06-23 12Z	4%	0%
06-23 13Z	4%	0%
06-23 14Z	4%	0%
06-23 15Z	5%	0%
06-23 16Z	5%	0%
06-23 17Z	4%	0%
06-23 18Z	4%	0%
06-23 19Z	5%	0%
06-23 20Z	5%	0%
06-23 21Z	5%	0%
06-23 22Z	5%	0%
06-23 23Z	6%	0%
06-24 00Z	5%	0%
06-24 01Z	5%	0%
06-24 02Z	5%	0%
06-24 03Z	6%	0%
06-24 04Z	7%	0%
06-24 05Z	7%	0%
06-24 06Z	7%	0%
06-24 07Z	6%	0%
06-24 08Z	5%	0%
06-24 09Z	4%	0%
06-24 10Z	4%	0%
06-24 11Z	4%	0%
06-24 12Z	5%	0%
06-24 13Z	5%	0%
06-24 14Z	4%	0%
06-24 15Z	3%	0%
06-24 16Z	3%	0%
06-24 17Z	3%	0%
06-24 18Z	3%	0%
06-24 19Z	3%	0%
06-24 20Z	3%	0%
06-24 21Z	6%	0%
06-24 22Z	6%	0%
06-24 23Z	6%	0%
06-25 00Z	5%	0%
06-25 01Z	5%	0%
06-25 02Z	10%	17%
06-25 03Z	11%	17%
06-25 04Z	11%	17%
06-25 05Z	10%	17%
06-25 06Z	11%	17%
06-25 07Z	10%	17%
06-25 08Z	11%	17%
06-25 09Z	11%	17%
06-25 10Z	5%	0%
06-25 11Z	6%	0%
06-25 12Z	7%	0%
06-25 13Z	13%	17%
06-25 14Z	11%	17%
06-25 15Z	7%	17%
06-25 16Z	4%	0%
06-25 17Z	4%	0%
06-25 18Z	4%	0%
06-25 19Z	11%	17%
06-25 20Z	11%	17%
06-25 21Z	18%	17%
06-25 22Z	18%	17%
06-25 23Z	22%	17%

Daily P(wet) summary — champion conformal calibrator (90% set)

Date (UTC)	Mean P(wet)	Driest hour
Fri 19 Jun	37%	35% at 23Z
Sat 20 Jun	26%	12% at 19Z
Sun 21 Jun	8%	3% at 02Z
Mon 22 Jun	10%	3% at 12Z
Tue 23 Jun	5%	3% at 17Z
Wed 24 Jun	4%	2% at 18Z
Thu 25 Jun	11%	2% at 16Z

Hourly P(wet) — NWP ensemble agreement (per-NWP wet-vote spread)

Valid time	P(wet)	NWPs wet
06-20 00Z	44%	50%
06-20 01Z	29%	33%
06-20 02Z	27%	33%
06-20 03Z	27%	33%
06-20 04Z	28%	33%
06-20 05Z	24%	33%
06-20 06Z	30%	67%
06-20 07Z	30%	67%
06-20 08Z	42%	83%
06-20 09Z	38%	83%
06-20 10Z	25%	50%
06-20 11Z	25%	50%
06-20 12Z	36%	67%
06-20 13Z	18%	33%
06-20 14Z	22%	17%
06-20 15Z	12%	17%
06-20 16Z	25%	50%
06-20 17Z	26%	50%
06-20 18Z	25%	50%
06-20 19Z	12%	17%
06-20 20Z	14%	17%
06-20 21Z	18%	17%
06-20 22Z	19%	33%
06-20 23Z	20%	33%
06-21 00Z	42%	33%
06-21 01Z	39%	17%
06-21 02Z	3%	0%
06-21 03Z	3%	0%
06-21 04Z	3%	0%
06-21 05Z	3%	0%
06-21 06Z	3%	0%
06-21 07Z	5%	0%
06-21 08Z	4%	0%
06-21 09Z	3%	0%
06-21 10Z	3%	0%
06-21 11Z	3%	0%
06-21 12Z	3%	0%
06-21 13Z	3%	0%
06-21 14Z	4%	0%
06-21 15Z	3%	0%
06-21 16Z	3%	0%
06-21 17Z	3%	0%
06-21 18Z	3%	0%
06-21 19Z	4%	0%
06-21 20Z	4%	0%
06-21 21Z	7%	0%
06-21 22Z	13%	17%
06-21 23Z	16%	17%
06-22 00Z	11%	17%
06-22 01Z	14%	17%
06-22 02Z	16%	17%
06-22 03Z	15%	17%
06-22 04Z	5%	0%
06-22 05Z	4%	0%
06-22 06Z	15%	17%
06-22 07Z	15%	17%
06-22 08Z	15%	17%
06-22 09Z	15%	17%
06-22 10Z	4%	0%
06-22 11Z	3%	0%
06-22 12Z	3%	0%
06-22 13Z	3%	0%
06-22 14Z	14%	17%
06-22 15Z	9%	17%
06-22 16Z	9%	17%
06-22 17Z	8%	17%
06-22 18Z	10%	17%
06-22 19Z	10%	17%
06-22 20Z	11%	17%
06-22 21Z	8%	17%
06-22 22Z	7%	17%
06-22 23Z	7%	17%
06-23 00Z	15%	17%
06-23 01Z	15%	17%
06-23 02Z	4%	0%
06-23 03Z	3%	0%
06-23 04Z	4%	0%
06-23 05Z	3%	0%
06-23 06Z	4%	0%
06-23 07Z	5%	0%
06-23 08Z	4%	0%
06-23 09Z	4%	0%
06-23 10Z	3%	0%
06-23 11Z	3%	0%
06-23 12Z	4%	0%
06-23 13Z	4%	0%
06-23 14Z	3%	0%
06-23 15Z	3%	0%
06-23 16Z	3%	0%
06-23 17Z	3%	0%
06-23 18Z	3%	0%
06-23 19Z	3%	0%
06-23 20Z	3%	0%
06-23 21Z	5%	0%
06-23 22Z	5%	0%
06-23 23Z	5%	0%
06-24 00Z	4%	0%
06-24 01Z	5%	0%
06-24 02Z	5%	0%
06-24 03Z	5%	0%
06-24 04Z	4%	0%
06-24 05Z	4%	0%
06-24 06Z	5%	0%
06-24 07Z	3%	0%
06-24 08Z	3%	0%
06-24 09Z	3%	0%
06-24 10Z	3%	0%
06-24 11Z	3%	0%
06-24 12Z	3%	0%
06-24 13Z	3%	0%
06-24 14Z	3%	0%
06-24 15Z	2%	0%
06-24 16Z	2%	0%
06-24 17Z	2%	0%
06-24 18Z	2%	0%
06-24 19Z	2%	0%
06-24 20Z	2%	0%
06-24 21Z	5%	0%
06-24 22Z	5%	0%
06-24 23Z	6%	0%
06-25 00Z	4%	0%
06-25 01Z	4%	0%
06-25 02Z	14%	17%
06-25 03Z	14%	17%
06-25 04Z	14%	17%
06-25 05Z	14%	17%
06-25 06Z	13%	17%
06-25 07Z	11%	17%
06-25 08Z	10%	17%
06-25 09Z	11%	17%
06-25 10Z	3%	0%
06-25 11Z	3%	0%
06-25 12Z	3%	0%
06-25 13Z	14%	17%
06-25 14Z	14%	17%
06-25 15Z	7%	17%
06-25 16Z	2%	0%
06-25 17Z	2%	0%
06-25 18Z	2%	0%
06-25 19Z	12%	17%
06-25 20Z	13%	17%
06-25 21Z	21%	17%
06-25 22Z	25%	17%
06-25 23Z	24%	17%

WeatherBlend

Rain +120h

NWP precipitation probability — point forecast at Sennen, Cornwall

St Erth

St Ives Towednack

Trengwainton

NWP precip rate (mm/h) — point forecast at Sennen, Cornwall