WeatherBlend
Multi-model forecast blending for Bonehill Rocks, Dartmoor
Wind +72h
Blender speed forecasts on top — champion (ERA5-truth), wind_speed_lgb (Dunkeswell-truth, with its shaded 90% prediction band — conformal- calibrated quantile regression), and wind_blend (their equal-weight mean), plus the wind_gust_lgb gust line. Raw per-NWP inputs below. Per-hour direction circles at the bottom show the latest day this lead predicts; each wedge spans the wind_mvn 80% direction credible arc (calibrated on validation). wind_mvn is direction-only — its speed output was retired 2026-06-09.
Wind speed — our blend
NWP wind speed forecasts
Wind direction
Latest day at +72h: Tue 23 Jun 2026 (UTC; hours 05–19)
05Z
81 mph
06Z
77 mph
07Z
70 mph
08Z
70 mph
09Z
29 mph
10Z
53 mph
11Z
58 mph
12Z
28 mph
13Z
22 mph
14Z
66 mph
15Z
61 mph
16Z
56 mph
17Z
52 mph
18Z
45 mph
19Z
39 mph