WeatherBlend
Multi-model forecast blending for Bonehill Rocks, Dartmoor
Wind +24h
Blender speed forecasts on top — champion (ERA5-truth), wind_speed_lgb (Dunkeswell-truth, with its shaded 90% prediction band — conformal- calibrated quantile regression), and wind_blend (their equal-weight mean), plus the wind_gust_lgb gust line. Raw per-NWP inputs below. Per-hour direction circles at the bottom show the latest day this lead predicts; each wedge spans the wind_mvn 80% direction credible arc (calibrated on validation). wind_mvn is direction-only — its speed output was retired 2026-06-09.
Wind speed — our blend
NWP wind speed forecasts
Wind direction
Latest day at +24h: Sun 21 Jun 2026 (UTC; hours 05–19)
05Z
9 mph
06Z
9 mph
07Z
5 mph
08Z
5 mph
09Z
6 mph
10Z
6 mph
11Z
7 mph
12Z
7 mph
13Z
6 mph
14Z
6 mph
15Z
8 mph
16Z
8 mph
17Z
7 mph
18Z
7 mph
19Z
9 mph