Phase 2b lean (13 features)
Six per-model temperatures, their mean/std/range, and cyclical hour/day-of-year encodings. The original champion.
WeatherBlend
Multi-model forecast blending for Bonehill Rocks, Dartmoor
Temperature skill
Eyeball comparison first — each active blender's temperature trajectory plotted against ERA5 + METAR truth. Rolling quantitative MAE by lead follows, so you can see whether the visual impression holds up under aggregation.
Vs truth
Phase 2c rich (88 features)
Adds per-model dew point, RH, cloud {total/low/mid/high}, wind speed/dir/gusts, surface pressure, plus cross-model aggregates. Challenger.
Rolling MAE
No rolling MAE points computed — the window is too short or there's no matching ERA5 truth yet.